Tag Archives: survey

Americans Can Tolerate 5$ Gallons Of Gas

Given that gas prices usually spike in late spring due to refineries shutting down for maintenance and that the West is in a prolonged game of chicken with Iran, everyone’s predicting that gas prices will hit 5$/gal this summer. So Gallup asked Americans at what point the price of gas will start causing problems; the answer was 5.30$, which is a surprisingly high number. Granted, a large minority of 40+% of people surveyed said their uncomfortable price was somewhere below 5$, but the clear majority will weather that cost just fine. And 10% of the people would be fine with even 7$ gas.

 

The survey also discovered that 90% of Republicans are either stupid, hypocrites, or both: when asked if government should try to stop the increase in gas prices, they said yes. Embarrassingly so, only 81% of regulation-happy Democrats agreed. Either the Republicans surveyed have no idea that they are against government involvement in the market, or when it comes down to brass tacks, they just care more about money than values; also, cheap gas is somehow completely and totally different than cheap healthcare.

Speaking of inconsistent policies when it comes to gas, Energy Secretary Steven Chu famously said in 2008 that he wished gas prices were as high here as they were in Europe, because it would help fight global warming and save the environment. But now that his wish is coming true and Obama is taking a hit in the polls because of it, he reversed his stance, saying gas prices should go down because it would help save the economy. Maybe since Geithner isn’t coming back for Obama’s second term, Chu has his eyes on the Treasury Secretary position.

From Gallup, via Marketplace

The 2012 Romance Survey

The romance book publisher Harlequin does a survey every year to get some insight into women’s views on romance. This year’s survey results just came out (PDF), so here are the highlights:

  • Turn-ons: good sense of humor and a killer smile (i.e., intelligence and kindness). For younger women, also an accent and being in a band (i.e., being cool).
  • Turn-offs: neediness (i.e., immaturity), smartphone addiction (being inattentive), being grammatically challenged (ignorance), having too many Facebook photos with exes (immaturity/promiscuity), and living with parents (poverty).
  • When talking about social relationships, 89% of single women believe their best days are ahead, while 40% of the rest say their best days are behind
  • But, 50% of single women say they’re “unsure and lonely”
  • 88% of women who are seriously dating say they experience romance; the majority of the rest, meaning those who are married or single, do not.
  • Most women describe their dating life as boring, a description that gets more frequent with age
  • Older women have pre-date communication almost exclusively on the phone, while younger ones tend to do so via text. But they all (85%) prefer phone calls.
  • Facebook: most women stalk guys on Facebook before a first date, looking for hobbies, interests and pictures. Younger women also have pre-date communication on Facebook.
  • Sexting: 43% of single women do it, and 57% of the rest; and 27% of single women have sent “explicit” pictures.
  • Online dating: 40% of single women have tried it, but that number is higher in older women
  • 58% of women said technology has made their romantic lives better

 

And here’s the common sense stuff:

  • Most women define romance as “thoughtfulness, appreciation and intimacy” — things that show personal investement
  • Remembering small details and being protective were the top most romantic gestures
  • Chivalry is still a thing: the majority of women believe men should ask them out, hold doors open, and pay for the first date.
  • 56% of single women feel pressured to be in a committed relationship, and that pressure generally comes from friends and family
  • Satisfaction with love life declines with age, but it’s never that high (36%) to begin with

 

The moral of the story seems to be that women are happiest if they’re always in a kind-of serious relationship with Jim Halpert, but never get married.

 

From Harlequin (Survey Results (PDF) and Infographic (PDF)), and xkcd

The CDC Thinks 5 Drinks = Binge Drinking

Definition of “binge“, from Merriam-Webster:

a: a drunken revel : spree

b: an unrestrained and often excessive indulgence <a buying binge>

c: an act of excessive or compulsive consumption (as of food)

A couple of weeks ago, the CDC released a supposedly alarming report saying that 17% of Americans went on at least one drinking binge in the month before. The report is based on a survey which took place in 2010 and measured three drinking parameters:

  • prevalence: the percent of people in a group that binge drink
  • frequency: the number of times a month they go on a binge
  • intensity: the number of drinks per binge

One of the main issues people have with the study is that binge drinking is defined as five or more drinks in a sitting for a guy — four for a woman. That definition was clearly thought up by someone who has never consumed alcohol and is at least somewhat ridiculous, because five beers over the stretch of a football game won’t even get most people legally intoxicated, much less on par with “a drunken revel.” (The blood alcohol concentration for a 180lb man after drinking five beers in 3.5 hours is about 0.05%).  The main issue is the terms of the definition, which uses a vague “drinks per sitting” measure instead of the more precise “drinks per hour.” For example, five beers in a one-hour sitting is probably binge drinking; five beers in a five-hour sitting… not so much. And the survey treats both of those events as if they were the same.

 

 

Thanks to raw data though, the CDC’s poor definition is not quite as important: the actual number of drinks consumed are present, even if the length of the drinking sessions is missing.  The prevalence and frequency statistics, however, are just given in terms of binge drinking (e.g., percentage that binge drink), so due to the definition issues, for the purposes of the below, take the “binge” part with a grain of salt. Armed with that, here are the most interesting numbers:

  • Twice as many men as women binge drink: 23% vs 11%, and 9 drinks in a sitting vs 6
  • As people get older, fewer of them go on binges: from almost 30% for younger people to 3% for retirees
  • As people get older, their binges get less intense: from 9 drinks for younger people to 6 for older ones
  • The 3% of old people that do binge though, do it more often than any other age group: more than five times a month, vs four times a month for the rest, who probably binge every weekend
  • A higher percentage of whites and hispanics binge drink, but otherwise the races are pretty similar
  • A higher percentage of well-educated people binge drink, but they do so less often, and with less drinks per sitting: 7 drinks, 3 times a month for college grads vs 9 drinks, 5.5 times a month for high school dropouts. But only 14% of dropouts binge, as opposed to 18% of college grads.
  • Same story for rich people — although the number of drinks (around 8) per sitting is similar for all income ranges, more rich people binge, but less often: 20% of those making over 75k$/year binge 4 times a month, vs 16% of those making under 25k$/year, who binge 5 times a month
  • More of the population binges in the north, and less in the south; the rest of the country is mixed
  • Wisconsin has the highest population of bingers, at 25.6%; Nebrasks and D.C. followed, with 22.3% and 21.9%, respectively.
  • Utah and West Virginia have the lowest population, at 10.9% each. Arkansas was next, with 11.8%
  • Bingers in Wisconsin also drink most: 9 drinks per sitting. Hawaii and West Virginia followed, with 8.7 each. So not many people drink in West Virginia, but those that do, are probably from Wisconsin.

 

The CDC’s recommendations all revolve around reducing the supply of alcohol by making it more expensive and less available: raising prices via sin taxes and selling it in less places and during fewer hours. The reason given for these recommendation is that binge drinking causes around 40,000 deaths a year. To add perspective to that figure, according to another CDC report:

  • about the same number of people kill themselves
  • twice as many die from Alzheimers
  • three times as many die from accidents (118,043)
  • 14 times as many die from cancer
  • 15 times as many die from heart disease (595,444)

In that report, binge drinking itself is not considered a cause of death, because it’s secondary: it may lead to accidents, but is not the immediate reason someone dies.

From CDC, via NPR

The Best Non-Sexual Sensation

Someone on reddit asked “What’s the best non-sexual sensation ever?” If you’re looking for ways to cheer yourself or someone else up, here are the best responses:

  • lying in bed listening to heavy rain on the roof
  • Sitting down after being on your feet all day
  • when you finally get rid of that thing stuck in your teeth
  • Inserting a usb device the right way, the first time.
  • When you’re congested as fuck and then suddenly your nostrils open up
  • Getting into my bed after I’ve washed my sheets and made it.
  • Getting goosebumps from music.
  • Taking off your snowboard/ski boots after a day of riding.

Photo by neoroma

 

  • The feeling when you first wake up but don’t have to get out of bed yet.
  • Having my hair played with/petted.
  • Getting my head scratched/massaged by someone else.
  • Getting my hair shampooed at a salon.
  • Dipping your hand into a deep bag of uncooked rice.
  • the smell of a brand new book opened for the first time.
  • Taking my bra off when I get home from work
  • Twirling a q-tip in your ear right after a shower.
  • Riding a bike down a super steep hill
  • Crushing my enemies, seeing them driven before me, and hearing the lamentations of their women.

 

Via reddit

The Happiest Jobs

The Christian Science Monitor has a list of the 10 happiest jobs, as of 2011, starting with the most happiest:

  1. Clergy
  2. Firemen
  3. Physical therapists
  4. Authors
  5. Special ed. teachers
  6. Teachers
  7. Artists
  8. Psychologists
  9. Financial services sales agents
  10. Operating engineers (i.e., technicians that operate giant construction machines)

The list was compiled using data from the General Society Survey, which is conducted at least every other year since 1972. It measures all kinds of things, including what people do for a living and how happy they are. The data is publicly available, so anyone can come up with interesting correlations, like this one.

Depicting Clergy Fail

 

With the exception of physical therapists, psychologists and financial advisors, it’s clear that salary has nothing to do with job satisfaction. The top 10 most hated jobs, on the other hand, is mostly made up of high-paying jobs like directors, managers and techies.

Money magazine goes a step further and compiles a list every year of the best jobs, based on not only personal satisfaction, but also benefit to society, level of stress and flexibility. But they don’t take into account jobs that don’t have many positions open, or require going to grad school for more than 3 years, or  pay less than 50k$ — so that cuts out almost everyone from the CS Monitor’s list and leaves a lot of engineering and business jobs:

  1. Software Developer
  2. Physical Therapist
  3. Financial Adviser
  4. Civil Engineer
  5. Marketing Specialist
  6. Management Consultant
  7. Information Technology Consultant
  8. Database Administrator
  9. Financial Analyst
  10. Environmental Engineer

I’ll take the rapists for 200$, Alex.

 

From Christian Science Monitor, Money and CNBC, via Forbes

The Anglosphere Is Very Charitable

Besides being #1 at jailing people, the US is also number one at charity: the Charities Aid Foundation did a survey (PDF) in which they asked people if they donated money or time, or helped a stranger in the prior month. While America won the prize, the interesting thing is the top ten list:

  1. USA
  2. Ireland
  3. Australia
  4. New Zealand
  5. UK
  6. Netherlands
  7. Canada
  8. Sri Lanka
  9. Thailand
  10. Laos

Besides the Dutch, who pretty much universally speak English, the top seven countries are all the English-speaking former colonies of the British Empire, collectively known as the Anglosphere. Given their histories, if members of the Anglosphere are cultural brothers, the Netherlands is a close cousin.

Also, how charitable a country is has nothing to do with how wealthy it is: only 5 of the 20 richest countries made it into the top 20 most charitable. Here are the top ten global economies, along with their charitableness ranking:

  1. USA: 1
  2. China: 140
  3. Japan: 105
  4. India: 91
  5. Germany: 26
  6. Russia: 130
  7. UK: 5
  8. Brazil: 85
  9. France: 80
  10. Italy: 104

Looking at their economies per capita, countries with richer individuals tend to give more to charity, but it still doesn’t explain why countries with very low per-capita income like Sri Lanka, Thailand and Laos are very charitable, while ones with richer citizens, like France, Italy and Japan, are not. Religion doesn’t seem to play a role in it either.

A bone to the dog is not charity. Charity is a bone shared with the dog, when you are just as hungry as the dog. (Jack London)

From The Charities Aid Foundation (PDF) and NPR

A Third Of Americans Have Been Arrested

And not just arrested at some point, but by the age of 23. In fact, the figure could be significantly higher, since the range this particular report (in the medical journal Pediatrics) gave was 30.2 to 41.4%.

Bill Gates was arrested in 1977 for a traffic violation

 

The data comes from surveys of 7,000 youngins taken over 11 years; arrests for minor traffic violations were not counted. The almost 10% range of uncertainty is due to some subjects having left the study. In any case, the US leads the world in many things, including the percentage of people in jail.

 

From Pediatrics, via NPR

The 10 Biggest Failures Of 2011

FAIL Blog conducted a poll of the “failiest” people of the year, from most to least:

  1. US Congress: in the wake of the credit downgrade, Congress received its lowest approval rating ever: 14%. Not even their compromise super-committee team could agree on a way to get us out of debt. Just the yesterday, an 11th hour deal was reached to avoid a government shutdown — for two months. In other words, we are being governed by the Korean pensinsula.
  2. Westboro Baptist Church: the people whose love overfloweth so much, that they protest funerals. When Steve Jobs died, they announced — from an iPhone — that they would picket his funeral.
  3. Kim Kardashian: faked the most lavish non-royal wedding of the year in order to get a few more millions.


    George Takei on Kim Kardashian's divorce

  4. Rebecca Black: the 13-year old who became an Internet pariah after her rich parents let her make quite possibly the worst song and music video of all time.
  5. Charlie Sheen: had the most epic public breakdown since Howard Hughes.
  6. Muammar Gaddafi: after 40 years of rule, the Condoleeza Rice-loving dictator who was protected by Charlie’s Angels, caught a bullet  that ended the 6-month long Libyan revolution. Borat is making a movie parody of him called The Dictator:


  7. Casey Anthony: probably killed her own daughter, but at the very least she tried to cover up her negligence. And then got away with it all, thanks to reasonable doubt.
  8. Jerry Sandusky: the former college football coach that set up a charity to use as a harvest field for boys to molest. Got Joe Pa fired. Faces 52 counts of sexual abuse amortized over 10 boys.


  9. Lindsay Lohan thinking she still looks healthy in March



  10. Lindsay Lohan: the formerly cute starlet whose train wreck of a life is second only to Charlie Sheen’s: in January, she got released from court-ordered rehab after 3 months, stole a necklace in February for no reason, then got put under house arrest for 35 days in May, for violating her probation — this, instead of 120 days in jail, due to overcrowding. In October, she again violated her probation by not doing her community service, so she got 30 more days in jail (of which served 5 hours, due to overcrowding) and has to do 400 hours of community service at the county morgue. In the middle of all of this, she decided to do a nude photo shoot for Playboy, since she’s probably running out of money.
  11. Anthony Weiner: the married Congressman who accidentally publicly twitted a pic of his weiner instead of privately sending it to a college student he was sexting with. At first he refused to resign, but eventually did anyway.

From FAIL Blog

Fertility In Women Declines Rapidly After 30

A survey of a thousand mostly urban professional women (around 30 years old, mostly white, college-educated with a full-time job and medical insurance, and had no kids, nor were actively trying) found a few gaps in knowledge of fertility, so the paper points out some things everyone should know:

  • Fertility declines after 30, and is very low after 40: only 10% of women under 30 are infertile, but that number jumps to 25% for women aged 35-44. In fact, because of the big impact age has, a woman over 35 is considered infertile if she hasn’t conceived after 6 months of trying; for those under 30, doctors wait 12 months to make that call. In over 70% of couples that have fertility problems, the woman is over 40.
  • Other potential risk factors include smoking, drinking too much alcohol, having a poor diet, exercising too much (apparently, yes, you can do that) and having a “social disease
  • The pill is not a risk factor for fertility: there’s no link between any hormonal contraceptive and infertility
  • It general, it’s harder to get pregnant than most people think: about 5 months for a 20-year old, 6 months for a 30-year old and 7-12 months for a 40-year old. At the end of a month of trying (that is, attempting to fertilize one egg), the chances of pregnancy during that month will have been less than 30% for women under 30, and less than 10% for the 40 year old.
  • In any given couple with fertility issues, the chances that the problem is the man, the woman, or both are split equally between the three.
  • Besides in-vitro fertilization, there are two other main methods of dealing with infertility: hormonal injections and pills.
  • The chance of getting pregnant via in-vitro fertilization is only 20-29%.
  • The age of the egg used for in-vitro matters a lot: a 35-year old woman doing the procedure has the best chance by using a 20-year old’s egg

Things those surveyed knew:

  • Menopause tends to happen between the ages of 50 and 54
  • Fertility declines 10+ years before menopause
  • Age, heredity, stress, and being over- or underweight are risk factors for fertility
  • About 10-29% of all couples are infertile

Other findings:

  • Women tend to want to have their first kid about 7 years after their mother had her first, and they tend to want 2 kids: one at 32 and another at 35.
  • 75% of the women weren’t worried about trying to conceive
  • 75% of the women were on the pill; 86% were using some kind of family planning
  • 1% of babies born in the US were conceived in-vitro

NPR has a story on the subject which points out that a lot of women wait to have a baby after 35, only to find out that the odds are very much against them. Unfortunately, it’s a tough issue to educate people on, because it’s so touchy. An ad campaign back in 2001 with a baby bottle shaped like an hourglass drew a lot of criticism from women’s rights groups.

 

This blurry picture is all that remains on the Internet of the controversial 2001 baby hourglass ad campaign

 

It’s worth mentioning that the survey was done by EMD Serono, which is the US arm of Merck KGaA, which is a German pharmaceutical. Given that the target of the survey was women around 30 who had no kids, they were probably just trying to figure out how to sell more pills to rich white women: either pills to prevent birth (did you know they don’t affect fertility?) or pills to promote birth (did you know we sell fertility hormones?). Drugs: the cause of, and solution to, all our problems.

Surprisingly, the German Merck KGaA is not connected in any way to the American pharmaceutical Merck & Co: during World War I, the American assets of the German Merck were seized by the US government and set up as a completely separate company. The two companies were also in the news earlier this week, because American Merck wanted German Merck’s Facebook page; Facebook initially agreed and transferred the page over, but after German Merck complained, it decided to go the Solomon route and give the page to neither of them.

From EMD Serono, via NPR and IT World

Apple iPhone Might Have By Far The Highest Retention Rate

UBS did a small-ish worldwide phone survey (515 people), with mostly European and Asian smartphone owners, but a quarter of them also came from ‘the Americas’. What they found was that 45% of those surveyed owned iPhones, which is a lot higher than the 25% or so that we see in the US (in surveys with a proper sample size). The Android numbers were backwards too — about 14% owned phones from Android manufacturers, whereas in Nielsen surveys in America, it’s more like 36%. So take the rest of this survey’s results with a sizable grain of salt.

They’ve found that Apple has an 89% “implied retention rate” (dropped from 95% last year), and the next manufacturer is HTC (Android) with 39%, followed by RIM (Blackberry) with 33%, Samsung (Android) with 28% and Motorola with 25%. Nokia’s on there too, but really, who cares? No word on how UBS came up with the “implied retention rate”, but they have figures for how many people are planning to switch to and from a manufacturer. A lot more people planned to switch to Apple than from it, and a few more planned to switch to HTC and Samsung than planned to leave them. Everyone was planning to chuck their Blackberries and Nokias into the river though and get an iPhone, or HTC or Samsung Android.

Most Android users were planning on staying with Android, but about a third were going to move to Apple. HTC was the most popular Android handset (39%), followed by Samsung (27%) and Motorola (16%).

From GigaOm